
Weak signal before a crisis
Scattered clues — a change of language, new domain, targeted hiring or actor movement — suggest a shift without yet forming a confirmed alert.
- First control
- Date each signal, preserve its source, assign a confidence level and compare it with a baseline.
- Decision required
- Increase monitoring, deepen the OSINT inquiry or record the signal without immediate action.
Records and limits
Keep on recordDated captures of announcements, pages or hiring; original URLs and a record of changes over time.
What this does not proveSeveral clues copied from one origin are neither independent sources nor a confirmed trend.
Ready for the next step whenHypotheses, signal origins and uncertainties are dated; someone owns the next review.
Reassess ifA new record contradicts the hypothesis or the baseline changes.
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